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Next-Generation Defense Budgeting Project

21.04.23 | 41 min read

军事现代化受工业时代预算有限

美国有可能因迅速发展对手而失去军事优势,这在很大程度上是因为国防部(国防部)和国家安全社区无法做出有效,及时的投资决策。这个问题是国防部在将新兴的科学和技术以及商业技术转变为战斗能力方面面临的众所周知的挑战。At the heart of these challenges are industrial age resource allocation processes, namely the Department’s Planning, Programming, Budgeting, and Execution (PPBE) system, which allocates resources years in advance, establishes categories for use of funds, sets the lens for congressional oversight, and has limited execution-year flexibility. While the PPBE system may be suitable for making long-term capital investments like aircraft carriers, these multi-year budgeting activities represent significant barriers to adopting emerging technology solutions in an era of a digitally-defined battlefield that requires joint operations. Simply said, technologies are evolving quicker than the US government’s decision-making processes will allow the US military to modernize.

整合和运营新技术的能力可能会决定未来战场上的成功。尽管国防部和美国政府仍然是研发的重要投资者,但美国私营部门对研发的投资已成为美国政府的五倍,这是美国政府迫使国防部成为精明的消费者,并采用商业技术在全球范围内竞争。经常讨论将新技术提供商置于合同方面的挑战,但当前的PPBE流程与商业时间表不一致。国防部需要维持这些尖端业务的机会,以确保其提供的战斗能力相关并保持相关性。

A prime example of where alternative resource allocation processes will be required is the Joint All Domain Command and Control effort where the Department will need to experiment with many different technologies in a portfolio approach that selects the best solutions then quickly integrates and scales them into a combat C2 capability. Transforming future concepts of operations into actionable decisions and resources may require a new construct that abandons the legacy lifecycle funding model where a technology slowly moves from research, development, test, and evaluation (RDT&E) to procurement, and concludes with operations and maintenance (O&M). The Department may need resource allocation mechanisms that can timely move funds to capture technology solutions and move them quickly from concept to fielded capability. This approach also forces a reevaluation of how DoD conducts oversight and management.

灵活性必须带来透明度和问责制。数字透明度是对当代商业资源分配系统有效监督的关键。相比之下,国防部目前依靠手动数据调用,其结果在多个企业信息系统中分发,以证明其预算是合理的。这些文件没有共同的参考点,使国会能够了解许多不同的努力所产生的价值。国会已经在《上一项国防授权法》(NDAA)中包括一项规定,要求该部门现代化其系统,以表明他们对当前方法的关注。同时,国防部需要探索如何将领导力问责制在资源过程中。

View the congressional language on a PPBE Reform Commission passed in the FY 2022 National Defense Authorization Act

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第一天项目与20个PPBE专家进行了白板课程。查看我们有关国防部为使美国军方现代化的财务障碍的问题清单。

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(评论)数字化转型是维持我们对中国的过度竞争的关键,,,,Breaking Defense, by John Whitley, May 18, 2022

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(评论)Modernizing the Military May Require Modernized Oversight,伊莱恩·麦考斯克(Elaine McCusker)和丹·帕特(Dan Patt)的真正明确防御

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(评论)没有国会,预算改革将无法成功,,,,War on the Rocks, by Matt Vallone, April 6, 2022

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它s core, the Defense Department’s planning, programming, budgeting, and execution (PPBE) process is a technical approach to a political issue. While technical problems need to be addressed by the financial management community of the Defense Department, politics will determine many of the big questions that determine the defense budget. It is impossible to avoid politics when the ultimate arbiter of the defense budget is Congress. The commission on PPBE reform needs to work within the limitations of that reality. The commission has the opportunity to improve how the Defense Department allocates its resources and how it plans for future developments. It needs to seize that opportunity to create lasting change that will enable the department to be more agile and more responsive to the changing demands of national defense.

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(评论)死亡山谷的计划方面,Miter,Pete Modigliani,2022年3月17日

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格拉斯利(Grassley)推动国防部的财务管理监督,查克·格拉斯利办公室,2022年3月15日

华盛顿 - 今天,Sens。ChuckGrassley(R-Iowa)和Bernie Sanders(D-Vt。)敦促计划,计划,预算,预算和执行改革委员会,以帮助将急需的财务责任带给国防部(DOD)(DOD)。这,,,,which comes after Grassley passed a new policy directing the commission to analyze and propose improvements to financial management systems, highlights the need for this oversight and explains expectations for the commission as they begin conducting their review.

(消息)Cyber Command Prepares to Gain Significant Budget Control,Mark Pomerleau的Fedscoop,2022年3月14日

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五角大楼需要一个六柱基金会,Matt MacGregor,Pete Modigliani和Greg Grant,2022年3月7日

与充满活力的美国资本主义模式相比,国防预算制度更反映苏联时代的官僚机构。随着多次研究和论文的照明,这种过时的预算系统产生了一支联合力量,该部队迅速失去了军事优势,这对中国和俄罗斯等高级同行竞争对手。更具体地说,当前的计划,编程,预算和执行(PPBE)系统不是及时的,战略性的,响应迅速或透明的。

Defense Innovation Bumps Up Against a Cold War Budget System,,,,Federal News Network, Tom Temin, February 22, 2022

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Acquisition Next: A Playbook to Break Industrial Age Shackles,,,,George Mason University’s Center for Government Contracting, By Jerry McGinn and Eric Lofgren, February 8, 2022

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This paper frames the challenges inherent in the current system and presents a framework for transformation to a PPBE system that is strategic, collaborative, agile, transparent, and accountable to outcomes. This is the first in a three-part series on modernizing the defense budget, which is designed to contribute to the strategic reforms being considered by the PPBE Commission. The second and third papers will outline targeted reforms to address key challenges and a vision for the 21st Century defense budgeting system.The FY22 National Defense Authorization Act authorized the Department of Defense (DoD) to establish a PPBE Commission to make recommendations on improving the fielding of “operational capabilities necessary to outpace near-peer competitors…and support an integrated budget that is aligned with strategic defense objectives.” The 2018 National Defense Strategy (NDS) openly acknowledged that the United States had allowed its military advantage to erode over the last two decades, when defense priorities focused on counterterrorism to the detriment of peer competition. While the NDS laid out a number of goals to recovery, including prioritizing “speed of delivery, continuous adaptation, and frequent modular upgrades” and recognizing that DoD’s “current processes are not responsive to need,” change at the scale and urgency needed has not occurred. As the Director of the Defense Innovation Unit (DIU), Mike Brown, recently said, DoD is losing its technological edge and “losing it at a rapid rate.”

Stepping Back from Acquisition Reform: How Our Resourcing Processes Drive Defense Outcomes,,,,National Defense Industrial Association, by Jon Etherton, Corbin Evans, Nick Jones, Rachel McCaffrey, Robert Van Steenburg, Jacob Winn, January 25, 2022

随着美国追求变革性技术来维持其竞争优势,我们认识到资源流程将极大地影响我们在快速有效地提供这些能力方面的成功。今天存在的计划,编程,预算和执行(PPBE),通过描述资源流程,识别利益相关者并定义系统中的激励措施和抑制措施,来存在。NDIA希望该报告将帮助对国家安全感兴趣的利益相关者了解当前的摩擦点,这可能会导致对创新的更有效的物质和意识形态支持。

Three steps to help defense innovation break free from its shackles,,,,国防新闻,杰里·麦金恩(Jerry McGinn)和埃里克·洛夫格伦(Eric Lofgren),2022年1月20日

seems like every year there is another commission, task force or board that studies the defense acquisition system. Fiscal 2022 continues the pattern with the rather bureaucratic-sounding Commission on Planning, Programming, Budgeting, and Execution reform. This time, however, there is good reason to sit up and take notice. While defense innovation initiatives over the past three administrations have made progress, the Department of Defense cannot gain ground on strategic competitors until the rigid and linear PPBE process is addressed. This commission presents a golden opportunity for the DoD to break out of its industrial-age shackles.

Stepping Back from Acquisition Reform: How Our Resourcing Processes Drive Defense Outcomes,,,,National Defense Industrial Association, by Jon Etherton, Corbin Evans, Nick Jones, Rachel McCaffrey, Robert Van Steenburg, Jacob Winn, January 25, 2022

美国追求变革的技术logies to maintain its competitive advantage, we recognize that resourcing processes will significantly impact our success at delivering these capabilities quickly and efficiently.

We need to take a fresh look at the budget and resourcing process in Congress and DoD, including the Planning, Programming, Budgeting and Execution (PPBE) as it exists today, by describing the resourcing processes, identifying stakeholders, and defining incentives and disincentives in the system. NDIA hopes this report will help stakeholders interested in national security understand current friction points, which can potentially lead to more effective material and ideological support for innovation.

帮助防御创新摆脱束缚的三个步骤,,,,国防新闻,杰里·麦金恩(Jerry McGinn)和埃里克·洛夫格伦(Eric Lofgren),2022年1月20日

似乎每年都有研究国防采集系统的另一个委员会,工作队或董事会。2022财政年度,以官僚主义的计划,编程,预算和执行改革的委员会延续了这种模式。但是,这次有充分的理由坐起来并注意。尽管过去三个政府的国防创新计划取得了进步,但在解决了刚性和线性PPBE流程之前,国防部无法取得战略竞争者的基础。该委员会为国防部提供了一个巨大的机会,使其摆脱了工业时代的束缚。

改革国防部的计划,编程,预算和执行过程,《岩石战争》,托马斯·斯波尔(Thomas Spoehr)和弗雷德里科·巴特尔(Frederico Bartels),2022年1月13日

Last year, the U.S. defense budget exceeded $700 billion. Most metrics would put it among the largest enterprises in the world. Nevertheless, the Defense Department’s planning, programming, budgeting, and execution (PPBE) process that governs how the department decides to allocate its resources is a relic of the past. It is a very slow process that relies on predictability when no such predictability exists. Further, to its critics among Washington policy wonks, the system represents the root cause of many ills: The slowness of the defense acquisition system, the lack of military agility in adopting new technologies compared to our own civil society, waste and bloat, and infighting leading to suboptimal decision-making.

Desperately Needed: 21st Century DOD Budget Process,山,罗纳德·马克斯,2022年1月10日

在最近通过的2222财年五角大楼预算中,国会下令审查美国国防部(DOD)如何要求并获得其年度资金。这是一个合理的问题,因为美元支出是世界上最大的军队,也是整个联邦政府的酌处预算的一半。国会任命的团体将被称为“计划,编程,预算和执行委员会(PPBE)改革”。这是一个至关重要的过程的暗淡名称。

2022 Defense Authorization Bill (Once Again) Looks to Reform How DOD Buys Tech,Nextgov,布兰迪·文森特(Brandi Vincent),2021年12月29日

最新的军事支出授权涉及提高五角大楼的技术创新范围和范围的计划。尽管通常对该法案感到满意,但前联邦官员警告说,其中的新官僚障碍可能会阻碍工作。

Pentagon’s Ponderous Budget Process Is Next Target for Congressional Reform,,,,Federal News Network, Jared Serbu, December 29, 2021

在修补了国防部的收购规则几年之后,国会将其关注转向了陷入国防部采购系统的其他主要因素之一:五角大楼和立法者用来实际资助每个军事计划的拜占庭式设备。

In the crosshairs is what’s known as the Planning, Programming, Budgeting and Execution (PPBE) process, an early Cold War-era construct that, translated to the modern era, means Defense officials usually wait at least two years after they realize they need a new technology before money arrives to start solving the problem.

新的国防预算委员会可能是解决国防部支出的最后希望,防守,比尔·格林瓦特,2021年12月13日

随着NDAA连续第61年颁布的NDAA英寸更接近其2,165页,这是一项要求站立委员会以审查资金如何预算和拨款以进行防御的要求。这项规定很可能会发起最糟糕的,但也可能是自1947年成立国防部以来对国防管理的最重要审查。

坏主意:通过计划管理国防要求,预算和收购,国防360,彼得·莫迪利亚尼,2021年12月10日

Don’t bring a knife to a gun fight. The quickest way to lose a war with a near-peer adversary in the 21st Century is to fight with 20th Century systems. The average Department of Defense (DoD) aircraft is 30 years old. Further, DoD launched most of its ships, submarines, and satellites in the last century. The best way to sabotage DoD’s ability to modernize is to impose industrial age structures, processes, and culture on this massive bureaucracy. DoD executives, Combatant Commanders, and Congress have stressed the need for DoD to rapidly exploit leading technologies to retain its military advantage. Yet DoD still operates with enterprise processes and management practices designed around programs from 60 years ago. These program-centric constraints drive longer timelines, fewer quantities, and higher costs that erode DoD’s military advantage and increase operational risks.

为什么国防部如此擅长购买软件,,,,FCW, Lauren C. Williams, November 8, 2021

这Defense Department is one of the world’s largest technology organizations, but it has trouble buying IT, particularly software. It can take years for DOD to make it through the process for buying technology — whether it’s software to operate a fighter jet, tactical radios or the latest version of Microsoft Office — and by that time, the technology can be out of date. “Software advances every 12 to 18 months, so you’re at least one iteration if not two iterations behind in the decisions that you made to get the program going in the first place,” Dean Hullings, global defense solutions strategist at Forescout Technologies, told FCW. It also “opens up doors for other people to say, ‘Well, wait a minute. We weren’t part of this. We have capabilities, too.’ And that prolongs the actual acquisition process.”

为战斗提供资金:国防部预算执行流程的历史和评估,,,,CSIS, Robert Hale, November 2, 2021

国防部(国防部)有一个利用批准的预算(被称为预算执行)的过程,试图实现三个目标:有效地满足国家安全需求,遵守相关的法律和法规,并在国防部预算中追求效率支付成本。这些年来,该过程已经大大发展。直到1900年左右,国防部和其他联邦机构在预算执行期间享有很大的灵活性,有时会忽略国会限制或将资金用于一个目的,即在未经国会批准的情况下追求另一个目的。作为响应,控制措施开始被收紧。

(Report)繁琐的国防重编程过程妨碍了国防,应简化,遗产,弗雷德里科·巴特尔斯(Frederico Bartels),2020年10月13日

国会拨款后,国防部可以通过称为重编程的过程要求更改这些资金。从首次计划到整整一年的执行年,国防预算大约需要三年,因此生活的事实和国防的不断变化将需要预算变化。目前,此重编程过程涉及至少12个不同的办公室,需要三个月至六个月的时间。该过程应以速度和精度进行改革。

利用闪电:中国军方如何dopting Artificial Intelligence,,,,Center for Security and Emerging Technology, Ryan Fedasiuk, Jennifer Melot, and Ben Murphy, October 2021

该报告研究了2020年人民解放军和国有国防企业授予的近350个与人工智能相关的设备合同,以评估中国军方如何采用AI。该报告确定了中国的主要AI国防工业供应商,突出了美国出口控制政策的差距,并将PLA在中国与美国军事竞争的更广泛战略中的AI投资背景下。

Senate Commission to Fix Defense Budgeting Is Right on The Mark,《岩石战争》,约翰·惠特利和格雷戈里·佩吉克,2021年9月24日

它is one of history’s great ironies that a major factor in defeating Soviet communism was one of the largest centrally planned economies in the world — the U.S. Department of Defense. The Senate’s defense authorization bill puts the Defense Department’s central planning process — called the Planning, Programming, Budgeting, and Execution (PPBE) system — back in the spotlight with its call for a reform commission. At over $700 billion per year, the Defense Department is by far the largest discretionary spending account in the federal government. It is no surprise, then, that its half-century-old PPBE process has been a regular target of criticism and calls for reform.

演示文稿是关键:为什么五角大楼的预算数据需要改头换面,Defense News, Jennie Matuschak, September 23, 2021

在2022财年的国防预算请求中,国防部投资了下一代领先的新兴技术和能力。具有讽刺意味的是,与此同时,这些新功能的资金的组织方式完全过时。然而,令人惊讶的是,本月早些时候举行了众议院武装委员会对众议院武装委员会的标记听证会的《 22财年国防授权法》要求国防部提供有关如何改善国防预算相关材料的报告。ReportsReports

Is It Time for OTAs to Go Mainstream?,,,,Breaking Defense, Stan Soloway and Jason Knudson, September 1, 2021

在它们存在的头五十年中,通过其他交易机构(OTA)的总支出远低于每年10亿美元。然后,五年前,国会将OT权威扩展到其最初的研发参数之外,以包括跟进量表的生产 - 一切都改变了。从那时起,OT使用已增长近22倍,到本财政年度结束时可能接近或超过120亿美元。尽管最近有很大一部分增长是因为使用OT来帮助开发了Covid疫苗,但该增长仍然很大。

Defense Budgeting System Hinders Rapid Acquisition of Commercial Technology, Says Procurement Researcher,政府事务,2021年8月18日

国防部目前的预算系统计划资助五年。现在,参议院武装服务委员会希望改革国防部的计划,编程,预算和执行(PPBE)程序。

太空部队希望管理投资组合的收购,C4isrnet,Nathan Strout,2021年8月4日

美国太空部队认为,它可以通过思考投资组合而不是独立开发每个记录程序来改善其开发空间能力的方式。当被问及需要进行采购改革时,空军副助理秘书肖恩·巴恩斯(Shawn Barnes)表示,太空部队在发行合同方面有足够的灵活性来完成需要做的事情。但是,他说,这项服务可以通过在投资组合而不是单个平台方面思考来做得更好。

Other Transactions Authorities: After 60 Years, Hitting Their Stride or Hitting the Wall,,,,IBM Center for the Business of the Government, Stan Soloway, Jason Knudson and Vincent Wroble, August 2021

这term “Other Transaction Authority” (OTA) stems from statutory provisions that allow certain federal agencies to enter into transactions with commercial entities using nontraditional procurement methods and contract terms. In this report, the authors address how OTAs have evolved over the last several decades; how different Defense agencies have used OTAs; what that experience teaches other agencies about using OTAs effectively; and the impact of OTAs on the COVID-19 vaccine initiative.

Lawmaker Proposes Restructuring Funding Through Mission-Based Pilot,防御,贾斯普里特·吉尔(Jaspreet Gill),2021年7月28日

A lawmaker on the House Armed Services Committee is proposing a mission-based pilot program that would restructure funding so that it’s tied to specific missions, instead of specific hardware. Speaking at a virtual Hudson Institute event last week, Rep. Seth Moulton (D-MA) said he wants to include this pilot in this year’s defense policy bill. “We can’t just change what we buy, we also have to change how we buy it,” Moulton said. “Software is going to win wars, so we need to change our buying habits. . . . And that means we have to have more flexible, quick funding that directly addresses the operational challenges our troops are facing . . . so that’s why I’m working to establish what we’re calling a mission-based pilot which would experiment with a new way of budgeting to fix these issues.”

这Modernization Quandary,,,,National Defense Industrial Association’s Emerging Technology Institute, Mark Lewis and Alan Shaffer, July 26, 2021

自冷战结束以来,已经有许多因素共同对国防部和整个美国构成了重大的国家安全挑战。这些因素包括一系列决定,或者在某些情况下缺乏决定,这导致了国防现代化的延迟。此类延误是在同一时间发生的,因为近点竞争者的能力急剧提高,伴随着关键部门的国内工业能力侵蚀。任何解决这一国家安全挑战的解决方案(希望解决国防现代化)都必须承认国防部对国防部的巨大预算压力,因为它保持了遗产系统和能力,同时又回应了行政部门领导力的需求和期望,国会国会,国会,国会,和美国人民。这是现代化的难题。

COVID-19 Contracting: Actions Needed to Enhance Transparency and Oversight of Selected Awards,,,,GAO, July 26, 2021

In response to COVID-19, as of March 2021, the Departments of Defense, Health and Human Services, and Homeland Security obligated at least $12.5 billion using a contracting mechanism that gave them the flexibility to quickly respond to urgent pandemic needs. This mechanism—known as an other transaction agreement—is not subject to certain federal contract laws and requirements but allowed the agencies to customize the agreements. Agencies cited the timeliness of awards as a major factor for using these agreements, including awards that accelerated COVID-19 vaccine manufacturing.

参议院NDAA推动更多国内生产,网络当局增加,FWC,Lauren C. Williams,2021年7月23日

该法案通过对国防部计划,编程,预算和执行(PPBE)流程进行独立审查,要求进行预算改革委员会。此外,国防部的主计长,CIO和首席数据官必须提交一个计划,以合并用于管理数据并支持PPBE流程的IT系统。

Can JADC2 Fly Without Budget Reform,FWC,Lauren C. Williams,2021年7月22日

国防部计划通过联合所有领域指挥和控制(JADC2)无缝连接其通信,平台,系统和传感器的计划,而无需进行实际预算改革。国防高级研究局战略技术办公室主任蒂姆·格雷森(Tim Grayson)表示,为未来的战斗做准备意味着“将”单片平台“分类”到分布式功能中,这些平台可以适应并结合在一起,以实现任务所需的任何效果。

前现代化官员说,国防部对公平性进行了优化,'不是速度,内部防御,贾斯普里特·吉尔(Jaspreet Gill),2021年7月21日

一位前五角大楼现代化官员说,国防部需要大修其收购系统,如果它想超过中国在尖端武器开发方面。马克·刘易斯(Mark Lewis)以前是研究与工程国防部的代理副手,现在在国防工业协会(National Defance Industrial Association)经营着新的新兴技术研究所。

完整的委员会听证会:“关于2022财政年度国防部预算的非政府观点”,众议院武装服务委员会,2021年7月20日

在2022财年国防部预算的非政府证人的证词中。

更快的武器购买:尝试进化创新,防守,伊莱恩·麦考斯克(Elaine McCusker)和丹·帕特(Dan Patt),2021年7月2日

At a time when political consensus on anything can be hard to reach, there is general agreement that the United States military must modernize to fend off a rising China and meet other national security needs. Bringing defense capability into the future usually generates thoughts of new weapons. However, much of the needed modernization must come from changes in how the Department of Defense operates: from process to concepts of operation to digital connectivity.

国会必须如何改革其预算过程以在AI中与中国竞争,The Hill,William“ Mac” Thornberry(R-Texas),意见撰稿人,2021年6月26日

北约30名领导人在布鲁塞尔峰会公报中清晰明了,并直接直接面对“我们面临多方面的威胁,来自自信和专制权力的系统性竞争,以及从所有战略方向面临对我们国家和我们的国家和我们的公民的安全挑战。”关键的问题是,美国,盟友和合作伙伴将如何满足这些“威胁,比赛和挑战”,尤其是在技术移动远比政府决策快得多的时代。

遗产基金会更改当前的“使用或失去它”政策将导致更有效地利用国防美元,,,,Frederico Bartels, June 23, 2021

国防部根据执行前至少两年制定的计划每年管理约7000亿美元。一旦分配,任何计划资源的移动通常都需要国会默认。在这种环境下,即使估计的0.01%也可以等于7,000万美元,即使是联邦政府也是如此。应注意“使用或丢失它”的现象 - 到期预算授权对部门资源的管理有何不利影响。国会应更改管理这些国防资金义务税率的财务规则,从而使其中一些资金可以延长到下一个财政年度,并加速重新编程和转让。

希克斯试图将服务实验与新的“ Raider”基金统一,防御,小悉尼·弗里德伯格(Sydney Freedberg Jr.),2021年6月21日

五角大楼副部长凯瑟琳·希克斯(Kathleen Hicks)今天说,五角大楼需要从服务实验中创建一个统一的“创新生态系统”。因此,它将创建一个快速的防御实验储备 - rder,发音为“ Raider”。国防部的组织可以提出实验并竞争RDER资金,并取决于他们带来多个服务和实体从事联合概念的方式确定的胜利者。希克斯今天下午告诉《国防》一号技术峰会:“我们正在建立一些可以立即使用的实验资金和激励措施。”

五角大楼希望使用其最大的IT程序来测试“无色”软件拨款,联邦新闻网络,贾里德·塞伯(Jared Serbu),2021年5月31日

这Defense Department is still in the early stages of an experiment to change how it funds software development, but it’s already planning to put that test on rocket fuel, owing mostly to the addition of a huge Navy program. As part of its 2022 budget proposal, the Pentagon is asking Congress to dramatically expand the number of dollars it’s allowed to expend through a pilot effort to test a new “color of money” for software, including by using it for the single biggest IT program in the federal government.

是时候重新研究资源防御,国防,霍克·卡莱尔(Hawk Carlisle),2021年5月27日

NDIA对预算稳定性的支持在于我们的信念,即国防部计划者,程序员和主计长可以最有效地管理资源限制,如果他们对资金水平有准确的了解,尤其是在短期内,更通常是在中期和长期的。我们继续认为,预算稳定对于确保我们的战士拥有能力,培训和支持以在冲突范围内享有决定性优势的能力和支持至关重要。

摆脱五角大楼的工业时代官僚机构,,,,Defense One, Dan Ward, Matt MacGregor and Pete Modigliani, May 12, 2021

对美国赢得冲突能力的最大威胁是其自身的国防官僚机构。古老的执行和立法分支的过程阻碍了军方能够适应动态的威胁,这在很大程度上受到网络,人工智能,自治,超人员和空间的商业技术的影响。

Reform The Pentagon’s Budget Process, Or Lose Our Military and Tech Advantages,山丘,杜夫·扎克海姆,2021年4月2日

人工智能,量子计算,国防创新单元和重编程要求彼此有什么关系?答案是“一切。”除非国会和国防部(国防部)认真改革他们将资金从一个拨款帐户转移到另一个拨款账户,否则国防部迅速引入新技术的能力将受到严重妥协 - 随之而来的是国家的防御能力。

这总结报告,,,,国家人工智能委员会,2021年3月19日

人工智能(AI)技术承诺将成为几代人最有力的工具,以扩大知识,增加繁荣和丰富人类体验。这些技术将是创新经济的基础,也是利用它们的国家的巨大权力。AI将加剧政府和竞争竞争的公司之间的竞争。民族国家将采用追求战略野心。

A Bridge Fund Can’t Solve the Pentagon’s Emerging Tech Problem,,,,Defense News, Eric Lofgren and Matt MacGregor, March 15, 2021

Over the last five years, the Pentagon organized a charm offensive to attract new entrants into its technology base. With the lure of quick contracts and follow-on potential, thousands of entrepreneurs have been enticed into seeking defense work. This enthusiasm risks being short-lived without more examples of small contracts leading to larger procurements. The oft-cited problem is the multiyear process for lining up funds, first for a more substantial prototype and then for a program of record. The Pentagon’s prototyping guide clearly diagnosed the problem: “When the initiation of a prototyping project is stymied or the developed prototype never makes it past the ‘valley of death’ due to inappropriate or unavailable funds, the transformative effect of prototyping can be lost.”

PPBE改革活动:赢得大国竞赛的必要,收购谈话,埃里克·洛夫格伦(Eric Lofgren),2021年3月11日

“… in my mind, I equate planning and budgeting and consider the terms almost synonymous, the budget being simply a quantitative expression of operating plans.” That was Robert McNamara in August 1961 testifying to Congress. The weapons program is the analytical framework that connects plans and budgets in the Pentagon’s Planning-Programming-Budgeting-Execution (PPBE) process. Programming the budget makes perfect sense where information is relatively complete about relevant alternatives. It’s simply an engineering problem with known constraints.

及时竞争:国防部如何将创新竞赛输给中国,防守,比尔·格林瓦特,2021年3月9日

如果新的国防部针对中国的工作组认真考虑我们的技术竞争状况,它就需要了解技术力量的平衡已经发生了变化 - 它主要是自我伤口。最好的想法不再是由60年的斯大林主义中央规划和安全控制的美国国防工业产生的,而是从曾经主要在美国且现已全球化的商业来源。

及时竞争:通过适应性资源分配确保能力优势和任务成功,哈德逊研究所,威廉·格林瓦特和丹·帕特,2021年2月25日

这keystone of the Department of Defense’s institutional architecture is not acquisition, but rather the budgeting process. This governs its ability to allocate funding to achieve national security objectives, links together requirements and purchasing, sets the calendar of the department, controls changes to investment priority, and serves as the mechanism for Congress to exercise its constitutionally granted appropriations powers. While there have been dozens of acquisition reform efforts, the budgeting process has been nearly untouched since 1961.

Bureaucratic resource allocation processes—especially planning, budgeting, and appropriations—are a critical engine for maintaining an edge in a long-term military competition. In the 1950s, this realization was mechanized by the US, when fast-paced military developments with shifting directions were used to drive cost into ponderous Soviet planning processes. Ultimately, Soviet strategists also recognized that agility in resource allocation would ultimately determine the outcome of competition given a sufficiently long horizon.

PPBE的僵化性增加了将资金迅速转移到似乎有希望的新兴创新的困难,因为新计划通常必须等待两年以上才能包括在预算中。此外,PPBE还编码阻碍基于反馈或反馈发展的研究,生产和操作活动之间的分裂。

五乘五:五角大楼的五个学科和五项战略计划,,,,MITRE, Pete Modigliani, Dan Ward, and Matt MacGregor, February 25, 2021

国防部(DOD)开始了一个新时代的收购时代,不懈地着眼于加速新的运营能力。尽管近年来取得了很多进展,但新政府有机会以最新的企业转型为基础,并将其提升到一个新的水平。即将到来的任务需要结盟和简化企业流程,塑造文化和激励措施,并利用国防部,国会,工业和我们的盟友的合作伙伴关系。本文提出了一组五个关键学科和五项战略计划,以应对加速和加强数字时代的国防姿势的挑战。

Pentagon’s Dated Budget Process Too Slow to Beat China, New Report Says,国防新闻,乔·古尔德,2021年2月25日

A new report argues for a sweeping overhaul of the Pentagon’s 60-year-old defense budgeting and appropriations process, so it can match the fast-moving commercial sector and outpace China’s technological development.

Emerging Technologies and Their Impact on National Security,,,,Senate Armed Services Committee Hearing, February 23, 2021

To receive testimony on emerging technologies and their impact on national security.

五角大楼需要预算敏捷性才能与中国竞争,国防第一,布莱恩·克拉克和丹·帕特,2021年2月12日

国会在过去十年中将国防收购置于显微镜下,向五角大楼官员施加压力,以缓慢或失败的计划,并创建新的方法来确定未来需求,购买设备和开发软件。这些努力取得了一些成功,例如中层采集道路绕过了DOD艰苦的需求系统,使程序经理原型原型进入了新的武器系统。不幸的是,除非达到更多的预算纬度,否则国防部的新发现的采集敏捷性将被浪费。

Pentagon Advisory Boards Need to Offer 10x Ideas, not 10% Ones,防守一号,史蒂夫·布兰克,拉吉·沙阿和乔·费尔特,2021年1月30日

国防部处于十字路口。渐进的改进不再足够与中国保持同步;五角大楼需要对其规模,结构,政策,过程,实践,技术和文化的实质性和持续变化。这last administration asked most of the Pentagon’s 40-plus boards for advice on small improvements — with a few notable exceptions, such as the Innovation Board’s Software Study and the work of the National Security Commission for AI — the latter an independent effort chartered by Congress.

前五角大楼审计员:美国国防预算的观察和机会,AEI,Elaine McCusker,2021年1月11日

当我们回顾莫名其妙且艰难的一年时,现在是时候了。这样的开始应涉及持续的积极进取和不惧怕的变化,改变了美国国防部的资源。现在是时候采取响应迅速且有弹性的预算方法,可以帮助恢复军事竞争力,对国内和国际合作伙伴的期货做出反应,并与国会产生新的想法。

Bad Idea: The “Use-It-Or-Lose-It” Law for DoD Spending,,,,CNAS, Robert F. Hale, December 15, 2020

年终支出sprees。违反联邦金融法的行为增加。国防部(国防部)的不良压力。所有这些不幸的事件部分源于一项法律,要求将国防部的运营资金在分配的一年中花费。国会可以通过更改“使用或丢失”法律来显着提高国防支出的有效性。

Department of Defense Other Transaction Authority Trends: A New R&D Funding Paradigm?,CSIS,Rhys McCormick,2020年12月8日

由于国防部和国会领导人寻求方法来维持美国对中国和俄罗斯等全球竞争对手的持续技术优势,因此OTA协议已成为越来越受欢迎的工具。在2015财年至2019财年之间,国防部OTA义务从7亿美元增加到74亿美元,增长了712%。OTA都不是合同,赠款和合作协议,是一种更灵活的获取方法,使特定的联邦机构能够在传统收购过程之外访问商品和服务。

Future of Defense Task Force Report 2020,,,,House Armed Services Committee, September 23, 2020

随着人工智能,量子信息科学科学和生物技术的技术进步,挑战美国挑战的威胁的重力和复杂性正在扩大,以指数级的速度变化了社会和武器。这是因为对抗能力正在增加到美国可能很快失去数十年来享有的竞争性军事优势的地步。

国防部预算过程:收购改革的下一个前沿,乔治·梅森大学,埃里克·洛夫格伦,2020年7月29日

预算过程是v的“主控制器”irtually everything that is done in the Department of Defense, yet it hasn’t seen real reform since 1961. The current waterfall process from the industrial era requires prediction and control of programs from two years out, and then locks them in for five or more years into the future. Defense acquisition studies have repeatedly asserted the need to move away from program-centric stovepipes and toward portfolio-centric management. Yet half of all Research, Development, Test & Evaluation programs proposed for FY2021 are less than $29 million, with limited flexibility to take advantage of new opportunities. This paper explores the wisdom of the traditional budget process based on organization rather than program. It proposes a 21st century agenda for budget reform, including specific examples of how pro- gram elements can be consolidated and appropriations reclassified. The goal is to empower mission-driven organizations, allowing them to accelerate innovation by embracing an uncertain learning process through portfolio management.

Sharpening The U.S. Military’s Edge: Critical Steps for The Next Administration,CNAS,MichèleFournoy和Gabrielle Chefitz,2020年7月13日

更大胆的步骤,以保持军事技术优势比中国等强大的竞争对手,或者在十年内失去这种优势。如果可以相信五角大楼自己的战争游戏和分析,那么在当前国防部计划(DOD)计划和预算中所构成的计划的部队很可能不足以阻止或击败中国侵略。很难夸大产生权力平衡的灾难性后果:美国不再能够可靠地保护其利益,盟友和合作伙伴在美国未来繁荣和安全最终取决于的地区。

软件获取和实践(交换)研究,国防科学委员会,2019年5月

FY18国防授权法案》(民族),,,,§872 directed the Secretary of Defense to task the Defense Innovation Board “to undertake a study on streamlining software development and acquisition regulations.” The Defense Innovation Board submitted their final SWAP report to Congress on 3 May 2019, which included 10 primary recommendations and 16 additional recommendations to address the most critical statutory, regulatory, and cultural hurdles facing the Department of Defense when modernizing software acquisitions. Shortly thereafter, the Department transitioned into the implementation phase of the top ten recommendations highlighted by the DIB.

软件永远不会完成:重构采集代码以获得竞争优势,国防创新委员会,2019年3月12日

U.S. national security increasingly relies on software to execute missions, integrate and collabo- rate with allies, and manage the defense enterprise. The ability to develop, procure, assure, de- ploy, and continuously improve software is thus central to national defense. At the same time, the threats that the United States faces are changing at an ever increasing pace, and the Department of Defense’s (DoD’s) ability to adapt and respond is now determined by its ability to develop and deploy software to the field rapidly. The current approach to software development is broken and is a leading source of risk to DoD: it takes too long, is too expensive, and exposes warfighters to unacceptable risk by delaying their access to tools they need to ensure mission success. In- stead, software should enable a more effective joint force, strengthen our ability to work with allies, and improve the business processes of the DoD enterprise.

(Report)总结报告,,,,Section 809 Panel, January 2019

这Advisory Panel on Streamlining and Codifying Acquisition Regulations (Section 809 Panel) was created in Section 809 of the FY 2016 National Defense Authorization Act (Public Law 114-92). The panel consisted of 16 members required to be recognized experts in acquisition and procurement policy with diverse experiences from the public and private sectors. The panel was charged to deliver recommendations that could transform the defense acquisition system to meet the threats and demands of the 21st century.

国防收购的思想历史,,,,International Cost Estimating and Analysis Association, Eric Lofgren, June 2017

This paper explores the origins of the consensus view that arose in the years between World War II and the early 1970s by surveying and interpreting some of the most important thinkers in defense acquisition. It will explain how the modern acquisition process descends from antiquated nineteenth century concepts of scientific management founded on a deterministic, closed-system, view of the natural sciences and a rejection of liberal principles for social organization. The paper will first discuss military unification and its organizational consequences. Then, a pair of chapters on program budgeting and systems analysis, two processes that laid the foundation for a fourth chapter on the Planning-Programming-Budgeting System. Finally, the challenges of defense contracting and the role of the cost estimator will be discussed.

(Report)迷宫内:改革五角大楼的预算过程,CNAS,米歇尔·谢文·科茨(Michelle Shevin-Coetzee),2016年2月

当前的严峻财政环境使对国防预算的辩论成为决策者议程的最前沿。技术术语曾经认为与政策讨论无关 - 持续的决议,除了人员,休假,政府关闭和隔离 - 都渗入了五角大楼的日常词典,并熟悉了公众的讨论。不断发展的数字和预算场景已经开始掩盖了关于部队规模和形状的急需的讨论。面对越来越不可预测的预算以及持续的国际挑战,五角大楼需要一个更敏捷,更有效的系统才能使战略与资源保持一致。在冷战的早期阶段创建,现代计划,编程,预算和执行(PPBE)过程旨在做到这一点。然而,随着当今的这一过程的发展,它存在着深深的缺陷,从而阻止了五角大楼的预算准备,以预期的全面和协调的方式进行。In particular, there are three discrepancies between PPBE’s “theory” codified in Pentagon directives and the more disjointed “practice” by which senior officials undertake this process: an unrealistic timeline, a stove-piped analytic system to model scenarios, and a reliance on Overseas Contingency Operations funding. Until these constraints are addressed, DoD cannot budget properly for the future security environment and is forced, therefore, to endure additional and unnecessary risk.

武器系统获取:存在改善国防部投资组合管理的机会,GAO,2015年8月27日

这Department of Defense (DOD) is not effectively using portfolio management to optimize its weapon system investments, as evidenced by affordability challenges in areas such as shipbuilding and potential duplication among some of its programs. Best practices recommend assessing investments collectively from an enterprise-wide perspective and integrating requirements, acquisition, and budget information, but several factors inhibit DOD’s ability to do so.

这Fast Follower, Coming Up Behind Development Leaders,David&L Magazine,David Pearson,2015年5月至6月,第35页

Let’s face it: In many technical domains, the Department of Defense (DoD) no longer is the world’s leader. DoD often finds itself on the outside looking in at many of the latest technical advances after losing its place as the dominant tech customer. DoD faces a shrinking defense industrial base and a more global tech marketplace and competes with the rise of consumer electronics that have short product life cycles.

国防部应简化其武器系统的决策过程,以减少效率低下,GAO,2015年2月24日

收购计划的GAO调查了GAO平均在2年内花费了两年来完成其最新里程碑决定的许多信息要求,但收购官员仅将大约一半的要求视为高价值。总共需要5,600个员工天数来记录。

最佳实践:综合投资组合管理方法用于武器系统投资可以改善国防部的收购成果,高,2007年3月30日

在接下来的几年中,国防部(国防部)计划在主要武器计划上投资1.4万亿美元。尽管国防部生产出了高级武器,但GAO发现该部门未能按时及时提供武器系统,并且具有所需的功能。尽管最近对国防部收购政策的变化具有改善结果的潜力,但计划继续经历巨大的成本和安排超支。GAO被要求研究国防部如何确定需求和分配资源的过程如何更好地支持武器系统程序稳定性。具体而言,GAO将国防部投资武器系统投资的流程与成功的商业公司用来实现新产品平衡组合的最佳实践,并确定了DOD可以做得更好的领域。在开展工作时,GAO确定了:Caterpillar,Eli Lilly,IBM,Motorola和Procter and Gamble的最佳实践。

(Report)超越金水管 - 尼科尔斯:新战略时代的国防改革(第二阶段),CSIS,克拉克·A·默多克(Clark A. Murdock),2005年7月

除了戈德沃特·尼科尔(Goldwater-Nichols)之外:新战略时代的美国政府和国防改革 - 第二阶段报告是许多敬业,才华横溢且知识渊博的专业人员付出巨大努力的结果,他们的贡献不可估量导致了该项目的成功。所有这些报告的承诺,咨询,资金和生产本报告的承诺受到了重大赞誉和赞赏。


(Report)超越金水管 - 尼科尔斯:新战略时代的国防改革(第一阶段),,,,CSIS, by Clark A. Murdock, March, 2004

超越金水 - 尼古尔(BG-N)研究团队得出结论,美国国家安全机构需要进行重大改革,以应对新的战略时代的挑战。作为其变革努力的一部分,国防部(DOD)不仅必须适应冷战后的战争,9/11后的安全环境,而且还必须应对许多“隐藏的失败”,尽管不防止运营成功,但扼杀必要的创新,并继续在时间和金钱上浪费关键的资源。在工业时代,最初构建的许多组织结构和流程最初构建为冷战超级大国,对于信息时代的21世纪任务不合适。

需要国家预算,1912年6月27日,经济和效率委员会关于国家预算的需求的报告

如果我们遵循对大多数文明国家的公认使用,我们必须得出结论,预算是由由或负责政府负责并提交政府立法部门的官员组装的文件集合。