-SCIENCE组发布预算计划向公众FOR第一时间 -
WASHINGTON DC (July 13, 2010) – The Obama administration is planning to cut the U.S. nuclear arsenal by as much as 40 percent by 2021, but also wants to spend nearly $175 billion over the next twenty years to build new facilities and to maintain and modify thousands of weapons, according to sections of一个管理计划made public today by the Federation of American Scientists (FAS) and the忧思科学家联盟(UCS)。
该提案中,“FY2011 Stockpile Stewardship and Management Plan,”part of the Department of Energy’s proposed fiscal year 2011 budget, was drafted by DOE’s National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) and presented to members of Congress in May.
“Nuclear weapons are now a liability, not an asset, so the plan to reduce the U.S. nuclear stockpile is a step in the right direction.” said Lisbeth Gronlund, co-director of UCS’s Global Security Program.
对于美国的计划要求,以减少其核武库30%至40%,从目前的总额约5000武器。削减已经开始将2012年年底减少了阿森纳4700个武器根据规划,“未来NNSA基础设施将支持总库存高达范围约为3000至3500 [弹头],”关于核弹头数量的两倍新的削减战略武器条约允许将部署在战略力量。(有关详细信息,请参阅“规划诺言削减核武器,但很少储蓄,”a fact sheet prepared by FAS and UCS.)
“的3000至3500的总弹头目标是一个上限,”说汉斯·克里斯滕森,director of the Nuclear Information Project at the Federation of American Scientists. “Of course, the United States could reduce its arsenal to even lower levels through negotiated agreements with Russia and the other nuclear weapon states.”
该计划还包括成本估计超出了此前NNSA已经发布。它要求美国花费从2010年近175 $十亿(在当时的年美元),到2030年在新武器的生产,测试和模拟设施,以及现代化和阿森纳延长剩余武器的寿命。这个价格标签不包括维护和运营的核武器运载系统,这是由国防部的预算支付的成本。
Given NNSA’s spotty record for meeting deadlines and budgets, experts at FAS and UCS predict that the costs are likely to be higher.
该two science groups also questioned some of NNSA’s key assumptions. For example, they questioned the need to maintain the capability to support 3,000 to 3,500 weapons, even if the number of weapons in the stockpile dropped below 1,000.
Gronlund说:“因为保留了阿森纳的尺寸大,能武器复杂独立的计划要求,武器支出将维持在高位”。“这可能是所需要,因为它会为美国能够迅速重建进一步削减的问题。”
“That calculation makes no sense,” said克里斯腾森。“这好像是说约5000武器,今天的库存需要一个复杂的几乎相同的尺寸和成本,当库存有8000枚核弹头的。鉴于联邦赤字规模,奥巴马政府需要更清楚地想想如何花费纳税人的钱。”
Finally, the groups cautioned the Obama administration against against making extensive modifications to U.S. nuclear weapons in the future, at a time when the United States is seeking additional reductions with Russia and other nuclear weapon states and needs the support of non-nuclear countries to implement the administration’s nonproliferation agenda.
“Not only could extensive ‘improvements’ reduce the reliability of the warheads, they would send the wrong message when we are trying to get other countries to reduce their arsenals,” Gronlund said.
该“FY2011 Stockpile Stewardship and Management Plan” consists of five sections (three are unclassified):
·2011财年的库存管理和管理规划纲要(机密)
·Annex A – FY 2011 Stockpile Stewardship Plan (unclassified)
·附件B - 2011年度的库存管理计划(分类)
·附件C - 2011财政年度科学,技术,和女士eering Report on Stockpile Stewardship Criteria and Assessment of Stockpile Stewardship Program (classified), and
·Annex D – FY 2011 Biennial Plan and Budget Assessment on the Modernization and Refurbishment of the Nuclear Security Complex (unclassified)
Analysis by Hans Kristensen。
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BIO:汉斯·克里斯滕森
博客:Strategic Security
家:核信息项目
新闻发布室:新闻发布