FAS加入正在出现的威胁工作组

Appointment provides a unique opportunity for FAS to collaborate with NATO and other Euro-Atlantic states to better address the emerging security threats arising from science and technology breakthroughs.

科学发现和技术创新的快速发展需要的科学家,决策者,非政府专家和企业界的努力,以适应安全隐患的加倍。这就是为什么FAS很高兴地宣布,Michael Edward Walsh中,兼职研究员新兴技术,并在美国科学家联合会高端威胁(FAS),最近被命名为Partnership for Peace Consortium of Defense Academies and Security Studies Institutes(PfPC) Working Group on Emerging Security Challenges.继续阅读

美国能源部计划将减少核武库高达40%,但在很少的成本节约会导致或削减规模复杂性武器

-SCIENCE组发布预算计划向公众FOR第一时间 -

WASHINGTON DC (July 13, 2010) – The Obama administration is planning to cut the U.S. nuclear arsenal by as much as 40 percent by 2021, but also wants to spend nearly $175 billion over the next twenty years to build new facilities and to maintain and modify thousands of weapons, according to sections of一个管理计划made public today by the Federation of American Scientists (FAS) and the忧思科学家联盟(UCS)

该提案中,“FY2011 Stockpile Stewardship and Management Plan,”part of the Department of Energy’s proposed fiscal year 2011 budget, was drafted by DOE’s National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) and presented to members of Congress in May.

“Nuclear weapons are now a liability, not an asset, so the plan to reduce the U.S. nuclear stockpile is a step in the right direction.” said Lisbeth Gronlund, co-director of UCS’s Global Security Program.

对于美国的计划要求,以减少其核武库30%至40%,从目前的总额约5000武器。削减已经开始将2012年年底减少了阿森纳4700个武器根据规划,“未来NNSA基础设施将支持总库存高达范围约为3000至3500 [弹头],”关于核弹头数量的两倍新的削减战略武器条约允许将部署在战略力量。(有关详细信息,请参阅“规划诺言削减核武器,但很少储蓄,”a fact sheet prepared by FAS and UCS.)

“的3000至3500的总弹头目标是一个上限,”说汉斯·克里斯滕森,director of the Nuclear Information Project at the Federation of American Scientists. “Of course, the United States could reduce its arsenal to even lower levels through negotiated agreements with Russia and the other nuclear weapon states.”

该计划还包括成本估计超出了此前NNSA已经发布。它要求美国花费从2010年近175 $十亿(在当时的年美元),到2030年在新武器的生产,测试和模拟设施,以及现代化和阿森纳延长剩余武器的寿命。这个价格标签不包括维护和运营的核武器运载系统,这是由国防部的预算支付的成本。

Given NNSA’s spotty record for meeting deadlines and budgets, experts at FAS and UCS predict that the costs are likely to be higher.

该two science groups also questioned some of NNSA’s key assumptions. For example, they questioned the need to maintain the capability to support 3,000 to 3,500 weapons, even if the number of weapons in the stockpile dropped below 1,000.

Gronlund说:“因为保留了阿森纳的尺寸大,能武器复杂独立的计划要求,武器支出将维持在高位”。“这可能是所需要,因为它会为美国能够迅速重建进一步削减的问题。”

“That calculation makes no sense,” said克里斯腾森。“这好像是说约5000武器,今天的库存需要一个复杂的几乎相同的尺寸和成本,当库存有8000枚核弹头的。鉴于联邦赤字规模,奥巴马政府需要更清楚地想想如何花费纳税人的钱。”

Finally, the groups cautioned the Obama administration against against making extensive modifications to U.S. nuclear weapons in the future, at a time when the United States is seeking additional reductions with Russia and other nuclear weapon states and needs the support of non-nuclear countries to implement the administration’s nonproliferation agenda.

“Not only could extensive ‘improvements’ reduce the reliability of the warheads, they would send the wrong message when we are trying to get other countries to reduce their arsenals,” Gronlund said.

“FY2011 Stockpile Stewardship and Management Plan” consists of five sections (three are unclassified):

·2011财年的库存管理和管理规划纲要(机密)

·Annex A – FY 2011 Stockpile Stewardship Plan (unclassified)

·附件B - 2011年度的库存管理计划(分类)

·附件C - 2011财政年度科学,技术,和女士eering Report on Stockpile Stewardship Criteria and Assessment of Stockpile Stewardship Program (classified), and

·Annex D – FY 2011 Biennial Plan and Budget Assessment on the Modernization and Refurbishment of the Nuclear Security Complex (unclassified)

Analysis by Hans Kristensen
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BIO:汉斯·克里斯滕森

博客:Strategic Security

家:核信息项目

新闻发布室:新闻发布


弹药的新研究分析全球贸易

Chapter(PDF)

WASHINGTON DC — The Small Arms Survey released its tenth annual global analysis of small arms and related issues, the “Small Arms Survey 2010: Gangs, Groups, and Guns”.

马特·施罗德,manager of the军售监测项目在美国科学家联合会(FAS),合着对全球贸易弹药的章节。

According to the new study, the first to examine the trade in ammunition for both small arms and light weapons, the global trade in ammunition is considerably less transparent than the trade in the weapons themselves.

This edition of the Survey also reveals that:
•在美元4.3十亿弹药发现表明,4十亿美元的总贸易(包括武器,部件和配件)的长期估值明显低估人民币近期活动。

• In 2007, 26 countries had documented exports of small arms ammunition worth more than USD 10 million.

•推进剂化学品的贸易价值至少数十个,而且每年也许数亿美国,美元。

•政府采购大部分轻武器弹药从国内生产商在可能的情况。因此,轻武器弹药国际转让可能是全球公共采购的一小部分。

•由西方国家进口的弹药是从绝大多数西方公司采购。七个西方国家公共采购数据表明,近年来他们从非西方公司收到不到百分之四的轻武器弹药的百分之(按价值计算)。

• In 2007 the top exporters of all small arms and light weapons (those with annual exports of at least USD 100 million), according to available customs data, were (in descending order) the United States, Italy, Germany, Brazil, Austria, Belgium, the United Kingdom, China, Switzerland, Canada, Turkey, and the Russian Federation. The top importers of all small arms and light weapons for 2007 (those with annual imports of at least USD 100 million), according to available customs data, were (in descending order) the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, France, Germany, and Spain.

Published by Cambridge University Press, the report is the principle source of public information and analysis on all aspects of small arms and armed violence.

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BIO:
马特·施罗德

博客:Strategic Security

家:军售监测项目

在FAS局哈罗德·帕尔默·史密斯当选小新主席

(WASHINGTON DC) — The Federation of American Scientists (FAS) today announced the election of its new董事会主席— a technology, foreign policy, and defense expert who is a distinguished visiting scholar with the Goldman School of Public Policy at the University of California at Berkeley (UCB).

Asked about his new role at FAS, Dr. Smith said, “I very much look forward to working with our new CEO,查尔斯·弗格森,在guiding the Federation in the new and challenging era that lies before us.”

除了他在UCB工作,Smith博士担任顾问,以众多的政府在议会国家安全政策。

“FAS将大大受益于史密斯博士的领导下,成为致力于用科学的分析,使世界更安全的领先可信的,权威的,和非党派组织受益,”弗格森博士说。

此前,从1993年至1998年,他曾在克林顿政府作为助理国防部长核,化学和生物防御计划。在这个职位上,他负责减少核武器的美国和北约的武库,拆除化学武器储备,生化防御计划,并管理与战略武器条约。Smith博士还负责执行合作减少威胁计划,协助前苏联在武器拆除。

“我们正在进入一个新的时代,科学和政策的交集将是多么的和平与稳定至关重要,因为它是在1945年的时候开始FAS。这将是激动人心的时刻,”史密斯说。

1960年,史密斯博士获得博士学位。从技术的核工程麻省理工学院学位。

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