1998年美国国会听证会
情报和安全

FLOYD D.斯宾塞开幕词
讯委员会弹道导弹的报告
威胁美国

即时发布1998年7月16日联系方式：莫林Cragin瑞安范德法特（202）225-2539

1998年7月16日

半年艰苦努力后，对弹道导弹威胁到美国昨天委员会提交了非常发人深省的报告给国会。在这个问题的严重性的光，我想，尽管在与参议院的会议的中央是允许委员们提出他们的结论委员会，国会和美国人民举行这次听证会。已经坐在你的分类介绍，昨天我希望部分或全部的你能回来，也许在九月，向大家介绍了委员会的分类设置。

I believe it is safe to say that the conclusions reached by the commission � conclusions that are unanimous and bipartisan � indicate that the intelligence community, and therefore policy-makers, may be seriously underestimating and miscalculating the threat to all Americans posed by ballistic missiles.

这是一个长期艰苦的斗争才能到这个地步专家组成的独立委员会是能够与这种权力向我们报告。在1995年11月，政府产生了总结北美远程弹道导弹威胁是15年之后一个有争议的国家情报评估（NIE）。Although the NIE contained fundamental analytical flaws � not the least of which was its failure to consider Alaska and Hawaii as part of the United States � its key conclusions were declassified and released publicly in the midst of a volatile debate between the House, Senate and White House over national missile defense policy. The President ultimately vetoed the defense authorization bill in December 1995 based on his opposition to a provision which called for deployment of a national missile defense. In so doing, the President cited the NIE�s assertion that Americans were safe from the threat of long-range ballistic missile attack for more than a decade.

对于下面的否决权个月，我曾尝试有在努力进行独立验证的方法和争议NIE的结论总审计局获准进入情报界。当局拒绝给予GAO必要的访问，所以今天给我们的佣金报告在立法创建我的财年1997年国防授权法案撰写。

按照其任务规定，委员会评估了弹道导弹威胁。报告中没有推荐任何特定的解决方案。作为议长在讲话中表示昨天，这份报告代表了最严重的国家安全警告美国公众自冷战结束已收到。We all have our personal views on how best to address this threat, but I hope my colleagues will stay focused on what the commission has reported on � that is the problem, and not proposed solutions. The conclusions reached by the commission suggest that the ballistic missile threat to the United States is a serious one today� and is growing. The threat is certainly not 15 years away. The report contains a particularly disturbing conclusion that ballistic missile threats will likely manifest themselves sooner than we think, leaving little time or ability for the nation to respond. In the world of national security, when a worst-case threat assessment becomes a most likely scenario, taking a business-as-usual approach to policy-making is indefensible.

I am also struck by the commission�s finding that the ballistic missile threat to the United States is �broader, more mature and evolving more rapidly than has been reported in estimates and reports by the intelligence community.� Furthermore, as a long-time critic of this, and previous, Administrations� export control policies, I am not surprised by the commission�s finding that the progressive relaxation of U.S. export control policies has made the United States �a major, albeit unintentional, contributor� to the proliferation problem.

我相信，委员会成员已通过强制和以一个声音对弹道导弹威胁，我们都面临的严重程度进行发言的宝贵服务。I continue to believe that the American people have been lulled into a false sense of security since the end of the Cold War, and hope that the commission�s report will serve as a wake-up call for all Americans. The world is a dangerous place and America, the world�s only superpower, is not adequately prepared.

When I was working on the commission�s charter back in 1996, my efforts were repeatedly resisted by senior Administration officials who argued that taking a �Team B� approach to the issue of the ballistic missile threat was not needed and would prove unproductive. I am glad I did not listen, because once again, competitive intelligence assessments have proven to be essential to the identification of problems. Although the commission�s work is formally concluded, I hope this committee will have an opportunity to benefit in the future from your evaluation of how the intelligence community reacts and adjusts to your findings. To this end, the committee has requested in this year�s defense authorization bill that the CIA extend your clearances through the end of next year so that you will have access to up-to-date information in the event that Congress calls upon you to provide updated assessments of the conclusions reached in your report.