核武器

ICBM信息项目

31.03.23 | 5分钟阅读 | 文字Matt Korda&Tricia White

GBSD计划包括类似于替换的所有400次小型人III导弹,目前已在科罗拉多州,蒙大拿州,内布拉斯加州,北达科他州和怀俄明州部署,还将包括一套完整的测试打电话导弹作为升级到发射设施,发射控制中心和其他支持基础设施的升级。GBSD计划将在美国的核武库中保留ICBMS,直到2075年,估计在其生命周期内,耗资约1000亿美元(当时以年度美元)的收购费(当时为年美元)(当时年度美元)。

然而,critics of the GBSD program––which include a chorus of former military commanders and Secretaries of Defense, top civilian officials, current congressional committee chairs, subject matter experts, and grassroots groups––are noting a growing number of concerns over the program’s increasing costs, tight schedule, and lack of 21st century national security relevance. Many argue that the GBSD’s price tag is too high amid a plethora of other budgetary pressures. Many also say that alternative deterrence options are available at a much lower cost, such as life-extending the current Minuteman III ICBM force.

尽管有这些担忧,但近年来,GBSD计划已经加速了,显然是为了在新政府到达之前锁定该系统。然而,五角大楼尚未提出令人信服的表达,即这些冷战时代的武器应该在冷战后的战争安全环境中发挥。Attempts in Congress to scrutinize the program have been shot down, usually with the lobbying help of the major GBSD contractors.

As a result,在GBSD最关键的几年中,已经做出了关键决策,而无法访问有关该计划的全部信息范围和分析。

To that end––and with generous support from Ploughshares Fund––the Federation of American Scientists has initiated an external review of the GBSD program, in addition to reviewing the fundamental role of ICBMs in US nuclear strategy. This project aims to put together a comprehensive, unclassified picture of the GBSD, while challenging many assumptions about the history, purpose, and utility of ICBMs. We hope it will be a useful resource for Congress, the incoming Biden administration, and the public.

Polling


On behalf of the Federation of American Scientists,重新考虑媒体在2020年10月12日至28日之间,对800名注册选民进行了全国调查,目的是探讨美国人对美国核姿势的意见,尤其是洲际弹道导弹(ICBMS)。调查包括200个在“核海绵”州(科罗拉多州,蒙大拿州,北达科他州,内布拉斯加州和怀俄明州)的注册选民,以便更深入地了解“核海绵”的居民如何考虑他们的武器如何看待他们的武器州正在托管。

To the authors’ knowledge, this is one of the most in-depth US-based surveys ever conducted about ICBMs, and therefore, the results shed significant light on how Americans perceive ICBMs and their role in US nuclear doctrine, and whether they ultimately support continued investment in this particular weapon system in the form of the Ground-Based Strategic Deterrent (GBSD).

Our polling results are available on the FAS website这里, and our report,公众对美国洲际弹道导弹部队的看法,is available in PDF form这里

专家

4/20/21:Forbes,“Biden Could Win Back Progressives By Pausing A Controversial New Nuclear Weapon”
12/10/20:防御一,“ ICBM倡导者说,美国导弹潜艇很脆弱。这不是真的”
11/3/20:美国科学家联合会,“环境评估揭示了有关空军洲际弹道导弹替代计划的新细节”
10/28/20:原子科学家公告, “Nuclear disarmers can’t forget the communities that rely on military spending”
9/10/20:Forbes,“Trump Is A Hypocrite, But He’s Right About The Military-Industrial Complex”
8/12/20:Forbes,“Democrats And Republicans Agree: Phase Out Land-Based Nuclear Missiles”
6/30/20:Forbes,“Democrats May Fund Trump’s Nuclear Modernization Plan Without A Fight”
6/22/20:Forbes,“The Trump Administration Is Using The Pandemic To Ignite The Arms Race”
4/21/20:Forbes,“国会应该在新的洲际弹道导弹上停下来”
3/16/20:Forbes,“美国核威慑尚未为气候灾难做准备”

在新闻中

7/28/21:每日蒙塔南, “New report questions the necessity of ICBM silos in Montana, Wyoming and North Dakota”
6/29/21:商业内幕, “Democrats take aim at the US’s new $264 billion ICBM amid search for cash to boost the military”
5/19/21:Billings Gazette, “Tester discusses defense priorities ahead of Biden budget request”
4/2/21:The National Interest, “Does America Need New ICBMs (Or Any at All)?”
3/30/21:Press The Button Podcast,“洲际绝业危险”
3/22/21:Der Spiegel, “Darum bauen die USA neue Atomwaffen”
3/17/21:现在民主!, “英国。提升核武库的上限,因为美国认为计划以1000亿美元的“冷战时代的“导弹”计划
3/14/21:奥马哈世界先驱,“如果不重建阿森纳,俄罗斯,中国可能构成核威胁,Stratcom负责人说”
3/10/21:每日野兽, “Scientists Are Worried About U.S. Plan to Build an ‘Outdated’ $100B Nuclear Weapon: Report”
3/10/21:Common Dreams,“在2640亿美元的美国核导弹'Boondoggle'的新报告中,揭露战争行业的大厅的新报告”
3/10/21:守护者, “‘Cold war-era weapon’: $100bn US plan to to build new nuclear missile sparks concern”
3/4/21:项目Government Oversight,“乔·拜登的核三合会”
2/22/21:Bloomberg,“美国不需要新的导弹”
2/11/21:政治报,“空军为核武器的预算战斗做准备”
2/9/21:Press The Button Podcast, “Civil Rights and Nuclear Disarmament (Early Warning)”
2/8/21:原子科学家公告,“美国为什么要获得新的1000亿美元的核武器?”
2/5/21:驱动器, “Majority Of Voters Don’t Want Billions Spent On New ICBMs To Overhaul America’s ‘Nuclear Sponge’”
2/5/21:国防新闻,“大多数选民支持ICBM替代品,新的民意调查发现”
11/7/20:Bullet Points Podcast, “Matt Korda and the Future of Nuclear Weapons”
10/7/20:布雷顿角观众,“没有逃脱军事迷宫?”
9/27/20:奥马哈世界先驱, “New generation of ICBMs means Nebraska will continue to be ‘nuclear sponge,’ warn nuke skeptics”

Meet the team
Senior Research Associate and Project Manager, Nuclear Information Project
Matt Korda
核威慑和裁军
进步的外交政策
全球核武器武器
导弹防御
Nuclear-Climate Nexus
实习生,生物武器大会项目
Tricia White

Plowshares Fund的慷慨捐助使该项目成为可能,而John D.和Catherine T. MacArthur基金会的一般支持。特别感谢我们在Rethink Media的朋友与我们合作进行投票工作,并在将我们的发现向广泛的受众中宣传和传达的专业知识提供了专业知识。所作的陈述和表达的观点仅仅是作者的责任。